So, the Surge is Working

That's the often-repeated claim of John "I was a POW" McCain. But key to the reduction of violence in Iraq has been the "Sunni Awakening," the switch in allegiance of the Sunni tribes from the insurgency to the government. Part of the Awakening has been the Sons of Iraq, a paramilitary group funded by our tax dollars, so that the former insurgents had jobs and something to do other than planting bombs.

The Shiite government in Iraq is trying to undo that. They are arresting key Sunni tribal leaders. They have vowed that the soldiers in the Sons of Iraq will not get jobs with the Iraqi security forces.

Care to place your bets as to when it all falls apart?