"No plan survives contact with the enemy."-- Field Marshal Helmuth von Moltke (the Elder), 1800-1891I am keeping that maxim in mind when I read the statements being put out by the Administration, such as this from President Obama's Saturday address:
As I pledged at the outset, the role of American forces has been limited. We are not putting any ground forces into Libya. Our military has provided unique capabilities at the beginning, but this is now a broad, international effort. Our allies and partners are enforcing the no fly zone over Libya and the arms embargo at sea. Key Arab partners like Qatar and the United Arab Emirates have committed aircraft. And as agreed this week, responsibility for this operation is being transferred from the United States to our NATO allies and partners.Yeah. Sure. Assuming the Libyan rebels manage to topple the current regime, which as far as I can tell, will have to involve doing a Ceaușescu-type maneuver on Gaddafi, the Libyan Army will have to be completely rebuilt, which is going to require money, equipment and trainers. There may have to be stabilization troops on the ground for years (hello, KFOR).
Make no mistake about this, either: The crap about "we had to intervene to prevent a humanitarian crisis" is bullshit. We chose sides in an insurrection that has morphed into a civil war. In revolts, insurrections and civil wars, the losing sides generally get treated very harshly. There have been civil wars going on in sub-Saharan Africa for decades with millions of people getting killed. Those wars have included the use of rape and amputations as tools of terror. But other than some pissant interventions by the French in their former colonial regions, most of the world has only tut-tutted at it and confined its disapproval to trying the few warlords that have been arrested.
To quote a man I met this weekend: "If sand were a valuable commodity, we'd have intervened in Darfur years ago."
I don't object to the notion of Gaddafi (and his sons) being deposed. I imagine that the world will improve slightly when their oxygen-use permits are revoked. And I understand that much of this has to fall to us, because we are the only nation (for now) with the military and sensor capability to get this intervention started.
But it bothers me. In almost every state in this country, times are pretty grim. I don't know how we can ever to hope to remain a First World nation with deteriorating roads and shitty public schools. We have 1.5 political parties that regard education as maybe being a barely necessary evil.
In a world where it is becoming increasingly apparent that a basic business tool is the ability to access broadband Internet services, there are rural regions which don't have that and won't have that without government investment to at least help build the system. I don't understand why that is so hard to get going; the same exact point was true for rural electrification and telephone service in the last century.
We can't find money for better schools. We can't find money to improve our roads. We can't find money to use for developing businesses and industries. But we can always find money to go out and kill people around the world.
And that bothers me.
4 comments:
It bothers me, too. Makes me wonder if we deserve to survive, if we have such screwed up priorities. We act like old shut-ins, afraid of everything or trying to do anything other than what we've always done, and happy when we look out the window to see cops hauling away those scruffy-looking people.
Well if they need a new army they will have the cash to pay for it
If it's a civil war we chose the right side
If it's a civil war the side we chose which will win will be greatful to the folks who helped and that will make it that much harder for the Taliban types to seize power
just saying
It has never been about human rights, of fucked up psychotic dictators. We intervene when when our oil imports are threatened. We didn't even do Afghanistan properly while we had the chance, and it harbors people who ATTACKED us. War is fun and profitable; principles be damned. All hail the almighty dollar.
(excellent post!)
The similarities between the latest misadvanture and the previous two prove how little difference it makes which of the 1.5 political parties are in office.
The military-industrial complex is driving, occupancy of the White House is irrelevant.
?OTD: What does the beginning of WW3 look like?
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