Words of Advice:

"If Something Seems To Be Too Good To Be True, It's Best To Shoot It, Just In Case." -- Fiona Glenanne

"Flying the Airplane is More Important than Radioing Your Plight to a Person on the Ground
Who is Incapable of Understanding or Doing Anything About It." -- Unknown

“Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level
and then beat you with experience.” -- Mark Twain

"Stay Strapped or Get Clapped." -- probably not Mr. Rogers

"Eck!" -- George the Cat

Sunday, November 1, 2020

Donald Trump, Super-Spreader

President Donald Trump’s campaign rallies led to more than 30,000 coronavirus cases, according to a new paper posted by researchers at Stanford.

Researchers looked at 18 Trump rallies held between June 20 and Sept. 22 and analyzed Covid-19 data the weeks following each event. They compared the counties where the events were held to other counties that had a similar trajectory of confirmed Covid-19 cases prior to the rally date. Out of the 18 rallies analyzed, only three were indoors, according to the research.

The researchers found that the rallies ultimately resulted in more than 30,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19. They also concluded that the rallies likely led to more than 700 deaths, though not necessarily among attendees.

This would make Donald Trump one of the most prolific serial killers in history. Typhoid Mary was a piker compared to Trump.

Trump's likely hoping that those 700 deaths, "almost nobody" in Don Jr.'s estimation, weren't going to vote for him anyway.

5 comments:

Midwest Chick said...

The paper was based on a statistical model and was not connected to any real data or contact tracing. Nor has it been peer-reviewed.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/31/us/politics/stanford-study-infections-trump-rallies.html

"The researchers used a statistical model to extrapolate infections tied to 18 rallies, and the study’s figures were not based on individual cases traced directly to particular campaign events."

...

"Public health officials in states and counties where Mr. Trump has held rallies said in interviews this week that it was impossible to tie particular infections or outbreaks to the gatherings for several reasons: Caseloads are rising over all, rally attendees often travel from other locations, contact tracing is not always complete, and contact tracers do not always know where infected people have been."

It would be interesting to see the results if they performed the same analysis on BLM marches.

dinthebeast said...

However you slice it, killing your voters right before an election doesn't seem that smart.

-Doug in Sugar Pine

Tewshooz said...

Maybe you might consider reading actual fact based reports.

Dark Avenger said...

They did, Midwest Chick:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.forbes.com/sites/tommybeer/2020/07/01/research-determines-protests-did-not-cause-spike-in-coronavirus-cases

“Protests against systemic racism held in 300-plus U.S. cities following the death of George Floyd did not cause a significant increase in coronavirus infections, according to a team of economists who have published their findings in a 60-page paper released by the National Bureau of Economic Research; these somewhat surprising results are supported by Covid-19 testing data in many populous cities where demonstrations were held.“




Eck! said...

Confirmation bias and cherry picking, seeing we are.

Statistical likelihood is they did cause spreading, any group event without distancing and masks.

The extent and deaths coupled are in the realm of likely and unknown as
to exact quantity. To that I put the blame on Drumpf, If we had tracing
and more testing we would go from speculating as to likelihood to knowing.

That last point is why Drumpf and his lackeys uses lies and disinformation
to create the spectre of uncertainty and doubt when we could know. They
do not want us to know the extent of their failure.


Eck!