🧵BREAKING: Russia - Dmitrievsky Chemical Plant burned down today on the outskirts of Moscow. This is the largest Russian manufacturer of chemical solvents. Located 250 miles EAST of Moscow. We are beginning to see a pattern develop. pic.twitter.com/537LLI2JR7
— Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) April 21, 2022
So, what, you might ask. It turns out that this is a very big deal for Russian manufacturing.
A 🧵on the #Dmitrievsky #Chemical Plant explosion and fire. On @Twitter I mostly post on Data Security (20year as a CxO and #Votehacking. But I also have 9 years as CEO and longer on BODs of #AdvancedMaterials / #NanoMaterials.
— Spoonamore (@Spoonamore) April 22, 2022
A 2nd 🧵to provide context on the #Dmitrievsky #Chemical Plant, where it fits in the supply/value chain impacts it could have on that value chain. I will do a 3rd on the damage at this specific plant after getting input from friends who know this plant / type of plant
— Spoonamore (@Spoonamore) April 23, 2022
So, if I'm reading this correctly, a bunch of Russian manufacturing plants are going to be faced with the choice of using either substandard petrochemical manufacturing stock or shutting down. Whether that includes the arms plants making new shells for Russian artillery is unknown, at least by me.
9 comments:
Not the only, or the first. The first fire broke out at the Russian Defense Ministry's Aerospace Defense Forces’s Central Research Institute in the northwestern city of Tver, about 100 miles outside of Moscow. Seven people were killed and 25 were injured in the blaze. The second fire occurred at the Dmitrievsky Chemical Plant in Kineshma, about 150 miles east of Moscow, and there were no reports of injuries.
Two is not a pattern, but it could be ...
I'd like to think this is the work of a super hawt Ukrainian babe in a black leather catsuit, blowing up things.
Marvel Comic Universe, call me
I believe this affects missile propellant manufacture.
Three times is enemy action. We're waiting. What Vlad the Impaler fails to realize is that while he may have the big hammer, military logistics and technologies have choke points. A few of selective pin-point hits are like dumping sugar in the gas tank. You can be the Second Coming of Joseph Vissarionovich, but you're cut off at the knees and nobody is going either tell you how badly you're fucked or be able to magically restart things.
Alternately, it could just be The Machine Stops. Too many corners cut, too much screaming, too much flim-flam and everything starts to come apart.
And realistically: the problem with a kleptocracy is that nothing is done right or honestly or productively. We do have a second coming, but it's of Grigory Aleksandrovich Potemkin. More entropy please.
https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1517145872609341440
Lots of sh t going down, apparently there have been two murder suicides of oligarchs in the past week as well.
“It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts.”.
Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, A Scandal in Bohemia
My own take is that perhaps some of this is opportunistic, not linked to state actors or an organized effort. It isn’t unusual for people to take advantage of chaos for their own purposes, like settling scores. And I’m not looking only at fellow oligarchs and the like. If I was one of them, I’d be employing a food taster and an armed squad keeping watch over me 24/7/365 about now.
DA, I have a brief post up about that.
Interestingly, since someone brought him up, Grigory Aleksandrovich Potemkin built the shipyard in Mykolaiv (formerly Nikolayev), Ukraine where the late Moskva was built. He may be more famous for his fake villages to convince Catherine II to keep throwing money his way, but he also was one of the people who helped industrialize Imperial Russia at least to a certain extent.
He was also responsible for breaking the power of the Cossacks and bringing Ukraine 100% under Russian rule. So in a sense, this is all Potemkin's fault :).
A bit muddled, but early morning reporting leaves me with the impression there's been three fires in two days, all War related; and two dam failures over the week. It is too early to call it a pattern, but ...
Also reports of two more dead Ruskie generals.
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