Both the EU and the UK are planning for what will happen if there is no deal in place on Brexit Day (March 29, 2019).
The parties may pull a deal from the magician's hat in time, but I expect they won't. UK PM May would probably like the EU to make the divorce deal a bit sweeter for the UK. The EU, on the other hand, doesn't seem to be motivated to offer more than they already have. The EU probably has a lot of motivation to trod a hard line and make the deal as tough as it can for the Brits, pour encourager les autres.
A no-deal Brexit may mean that a hard border is re-established between Northern Ireland and Ireland, which would be a violation of the Good Friday Agreement. Whether that would be enough to restart the Troubles is probably a question that one hell of a lot of people on that island are not interested in seeing answered.
There Seems To Be A Disconnect
1 hour ago
1 comment:
In sports they say deadlines make deals. May still has a turd she can't sell and the EU haven't come to grips with the loss of the scale of the London banking system. I'd bet against May in a game of brinkmanship.
Article 50 allows for a mutual extension of the deadline. Soft and No Brexit could use it to advantage.
Post a Comment