My take of the Ukrainian army vis a vis the Russian army is this:
The Ukrainian soldiers are better led, better trained, better armed and better motivated than the Russians.
It's the leadership and motivation that are the true hidden-in-plain-sight cards for Ukraine.
I'd be willing to wager that there are elements of Russian intelligence that are fully aware of that, but nobody is going to tell the Czar about that. For people who displease this Czar tend to have unfortunate gravitational accidents. And nothing would displease him more than being told that his entire war was built on a foundation of delusions.
This could be a very interesting year in eastern Europe.
Spanks, But No Spanks
45 minutes ago
9 comments:
You need logistics and planning too. Planning is a no brainer. Changing horses in mid-stream is switching to NATO kit.
Switching is sort of mandatory; doubt if the Bulgarians can make enough 152mm shells.
Many more people will die. It will be a tragedy. All because of this Putin criminal. He has a mental illness. Hide, keep your head down, or flee for your lives. This is not the first time we have seen a Soviet dictator do this.
Sometimes i wonder about the Rusi and that awful Kremlin of theirs. I begin to admire them, and then they go do something like this.
Comrade - that Ukraine can pull this off is the only beauty of the situation. Abrams will keep the peace in September.
You call Putin the Czar and that is very apropos. The Russian Federation is the 'Soviet rump state', which was in turn the inheritor of The Russian Empire. As such, it is the last European Colonial Empire. And it is dying. As ever, the death of an empire is a brutal and violent business.
NPR did part of what the Economist did recently. A five week course in combined arms at greater than the company level
The so-called combined arms training is aimed at honing the skills of the Ukrainian forces so they will be better prepared to launch an offensive or counter any surge in Russian attacks. They will learn how to better move and coordinate their company- and battalion-size units in battle, using combined artillery, armor and ground forces.
https://www.npr.org/2023/01/16/1149372572/expanded-us-training-for-ukraine-forces-begins-in-germany
I've been re-reading the Uknown Patton. https://www.amazon.com/Patton-Charles-M-Province/dp/0517455951/ref=sr_1_1?crid=SWWIKSIPY1B6&keywords=the+unknown+patton&qid=1679534217&sprefix=the+unknown+patton%2Caps%2C104&sr=8-1
Jon, the Ukrainians have been working hard to cripple Russian supply efforts. Any supply dumps within range of a HIMARS strike gets blown up.
The Russians are pulling T-54 tanks out of storage; they were made in the 1950s. There's no way that they have any sort of modern fire-control components.
I'm not saying our hair might not get mussed, but the odds are their nukes are still stuck in the fifties. I don't think MADD is as assured as it once was ...
Roger roger.
Himars gave Ukraine the breathing room to do the training. I could probably take out T-54 with a grease bomb and their armor is really terrible against modern weapons.
This is my battle plan library: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battleplan
I'm working on the eye of the tiger for when the rubber meets the road and the info comes fast and furious.
So he came to the meeting, and Eisenhower said to him, "Look, George, what can you do?" And Patton said, "I can attack in 48 hours with three divisions," and Eisenhower just looked at him and he scoffed. He said, "Come on, George, get serious. I want to know what you can do." And Patton said, "I mean it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m1mOHt4-Xdo
I find Patton very refeshing in this day and age.
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