Eight years ago, I wondered whether or not the lesson of the difference between fighting wars in the Third World vs. the First World had been forgotten.
One lesson that has been relearned and reforgotten time and time again is the incredible wastage/expenditure of munitions during a war. In this regard, the Russians have a short-term advantage in that they never throw anything away. If it's obsolete, it goes into a warehouse deep in the interior.[1],[2] But once they burn through their stocks, they may not have the capacity to make more.[3] But as for America, we've been down this road before. During the Christmas bombing offensive of 1972, we were so short of bombs that new bomb casings went from having their TNT filler poured to being loaded on transports.[4]
But it's a lesson we don't learn and refuse to learn. Keeping the capacity up to rapidly make munitions from howitzer shells to the howitzers and AGTMS and MANPADs is expensive. So now we need to make a lot more war materiel and get it to the battlefield and do it fast. Going from zero to wartime production is not cheap and easy.
And it's going to scuttle a bunch of other things.[5] But that's the nature of war.
And we are in one, whether we want to admit it or not.
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[1] It wasn't until two decades ago that the Russians stopped keeping everything in place to run steam engines.
[2] I am not certain, but I wonder if the flood of Mosin rifles imported in the Aughts and Teens came from Ukraine and other FSU nations. The Russians may have hung onto theirs.
[3] If the munitions plants weren't sold off to the Russian kelptocracy.
[4] The story was that they were still warm to the touch when they were offloaded in Guam and U-Tapao.
[5] Such as expanded social programs and tax cuts for billionaires.
Sunday, June 19, 2022
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5 comments:
I think NVA gunners and missile troops shot down about 25 B-52s in that campaign but none after the first two or three days, missiles were all expended. And no resupply was possible either for some time.
Shortages hit both sides. Before that, the US bomb shortage meant dropping dud-prone WWII or Korean war leftovers, and navy & USAF jets attacking with partial loads.
Why not send half the number of planes to lower losses? Sortie rates must not drop for funding stats and the 'five o'clock follies'!
Fewer airplanes also meant that anti-aircraft fire could be more concentrated.
And most of the mines dropped into Haiphong Harbor were dummies.
https://www.milwaukeeindependent.com/syndicated/army-thieves-putins-military-weakness-follows-long-history-corrupt-russian-regimes/
History only repeats to those paying attention ...
Logistics starts early in the process, preferably before
the first unexpected attack.
Then it becomes resources and treasure. Those with
the mostest have an advantage.
Eck!
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