... I'd bet on three things:
- China moves on Taiwan by the end of next year.
- Russia moves on one or more of the Baltic nations by the end of next year.
- The U.S. moves on Cuba sooner than the other two.
What is forming is a Superpower Axis of Evil, led by two dictators and one dimwit.
We may be seeing a revival of a form of the colonial spheres of influence, in which the major powers carved up areas of the globe, saying, in essence "this is ours and this is yours". Xi and Putin seem to be very interested in doing something like that, and they both believe that they can flatter Dementia Don the Diapered Dotard into going along with them.