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Thursday, February 11, 2016
Clinton's Delegate Lead
Hillary Clinton supposedly has a significant lead in delegates. However, most of them are "superdelegates" of which there are 712. They are all party loyalists, of course, and most have said they support Clinton, whi is the candidate of the establishment.
However, that support is as firm as overcooked pasta. In the words of Sammy Tonin: "You want to survive in this business, you have your money on the horse that's out front." If it appears that Bernie Sanders is going to win the nomination, the superdelegates will abandon Clinton. They might not like Bernie, but they'd rather be seen as coming in late than not at all.
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The only way that the superdelegates will decide things is if the regular delegate vote is too close to call. In that case, it really shouldn't be a surprise that the person who has spent decades building up relationships with other members of the Democratic party gets more superdelegate votes than the person who joined a couple months ago after making a career out of loudly not being a Democrat.
ReplyDeleteThe Clintonistas, though, are using the total delegate count as a way to persuade people to either not vote for Sanders or not vote at all. It's a Borgian argument: "Your vote is futile."
ReplyDelete