Friday, February 24, 2023

One Year Into Tsar Vladimir III's Three-Day War

First, for those who have been carping about the cost to American taxpayers of this war, I present this graphic:
Statistic: Total bilateral aid commitments to Ukraine as a percentage of donor gross domestic product (GDP) between January 24, 2022 and January 15, 2023, by country | Statista
Find more statistics at Statista

Four countries with direct experience of the brunt of Russian aggression have been, by GDP, giving a lot. Poland, in particular, has done far more for Ukrainian refugees that most people probably thought that they would. Germany is starting to step up, a little. By GDP, they've given a bit, but they've still been rather stingy. It's high time that the Germans get over feeling bad because they invaded the Soviet Union (which is why they've pretty much let the Russians riddle thier intelligence service with moles). Are they going to close their eyes to Russia doing similar acts in this century?

I've heard people talking about the amount of money that we are "giving" to Ukraine. But a lot of that isn't being paid to Ukraine. We've given Ukraine a lot of weapons, but those weapons were made in the U.S. Those 155mm shells that the Ukrainians are firing lots of? They're made here. Javelins? Stingers? Cannons? HIMARS launchers and its various rockets? Made here.

And let's not forget that, as a result of what is happening on the Ukrainian battlefield, those weapons are now in demand worldwide. Every country that has threatening neighbors wants HIMARS (or something similar). If you're the Defense Minister of a country outside of the Western bloc and you have sketchy neighbors you mght be less inclined to sign off on a purchase of new weaponry that is either Russian or based on their designs (without being bribed, that is). For nothing is a better advertisement for any particular weapon system than battlefield success.

CDR Salamander has advocated for those countries on the Russian border to spin up militia teams armed with AGTMs in every village. That's a worthy idea, and one that the Taiwanese may want to take a hard look at implementing. But I'd backstop them with a lot more people armed with RPG-7s or similar weapons. True, they may not be that effective against tanks with modern defenses. But they are the bees' knees for blowing up trucks in convoys, especially fuel tankers. Tanks go through a lot of fuel; a tank without tanker trucks to refuel it will become a pillbox.

The pro-Russian apologists (you know who they are) keep on saying that we can trust Putin's word when he says that he only has designs on Ukraine (plus Belarus and Kazakhstan) and all other countries are safe. Well, in my opinion, they are idiots. Putin has masterfully aligned his domestic repressions to be in line with those of the Christian Taliban in this country. They see Putin stamping on the same people they hate, so they love Vlad the Invader.

Of everything, it's Putin's kicking over the world order of the last seventy years that is the most wworrisome. He seeks to return to the Law of Conquest. Anybody who thinks that is a good idea needs to have their head examined. For that reason alone, it is the duty of every civilized nation on the planet to help Ukraine repel Russian invaders.

There are, though, a lot of countries that aren't helping, if even a little. We should keep in mind who they are and, in the future, adjust our dealings with them accordingly.

7 comments:

  1. Thank-you Misfit.
    A clear summary of what needed to be said !!
    Or, as we used to say: "Предупреждение! Внутри нет никаких идиотски исправных деталей!!"

    r/s,
    GLB

    ReplyDelete
  2. The Europeans haven't because they have spent their money on social programs (and just plain are used to the US defending them anyway) and simply won't, because they don't much like Eastern Europeans in any way.

    When you look at it in dollars (https://www.statista.com/statistics/1303432/total-bilateral-aid-to-ukraine/) the US is WAY higher than anyone else. Moldova and the like may be giving their all, but they don't have much all to give, being pretty poor to start with.

    In the end, like every european conflict, the US bears the brunt of the cost.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The trick would be teaching those militia’s to sit tight through the assault and some of there members being dragged out and shot, and waiting until they are behind the lines and can target supply convoys rather than armor. It’s a big ask, because to your average militia dude, an explosive rocket is a good choice vs a tank…not using it takes great restraint.

    ReplyDelete
  4. There's a chart here that says the Germans should be doing more too. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/2/16/mapping-where-every-country-stands-on-the-russia-ukraine-war

    Putin waited until Merkel was gone because she kept the EU united through various crises. Waited for Biden too as he could make a deal stick. How much of a weak sister he saw, I don't know.

    A picture is a thousand words https://www.cnn.com/2016/01/12/europe/putin-merkel-scared-dog/index.html

    ReplyDelete
  5. Just give up, aeh *? Quit. It's too hard, too much trouble to do the right thing.

    Be honest, I don't see the point in rounding the Russia Lovers up, stuffing them in cattle-cars and shipping them to Russia ~ just shoot the trash, dump 'em in a ditch. For the coyotes.

    All those Macho Macho Men ain't nothing but Neville Chamberlins ...

    ReplyDelete
  6. I read this morning that the fucking Saudis are kicking in $400 million worth of oil, so perhaps Putin's credibility is suffering in other parts of the world also.

    -Doug in Sugar Pine

    ReplyDelete
  7. Much thanks to Doug in Sugar Pine. My boys and girls didn't know about that on Linkedin. One of them has a poll up now on the question.

    Compete w/Russia for oil sales
    67%
    Compete w/Iran for influence
    0%
    Support democracy in Ukraine
    33%
    Please say in comments below

    https://www.linkedin.com/in/larswe/recent-activity/

    ReplyDelete

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