Clinton effectively lost and Cruz won.
Hillary Clinton is the candidate of the establishment and, a year ago, it was pretty well presumed by the People in the Know that the nomination was effectively hers. Now it isn't. When you're the candidate with the support of your party's establishment and you've raised enough money to buy a couple of new 737s before a single vote is cast in the nomination process, a tie is a loss.
As to Rafael Cruz, it's worth keeping in mind that Frothy won Iowa in 2012 and Huckabee won it in 2008.
The game is afoot!
Oh, almost forgot: O'Malley quit the race. As if anybody gives a shit.
Update: Huckabee also quit, saying "the voters are sick of me." He might have been joking, but it was damned accurate.
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Tuesday, February 2, 2016
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I prefer five thirty eight's take. They are much more poll/number/statistically driven, and concede that Sanders effectively lost because he didn't clearly win by a good margin. I like Sanders and his message, and I also like the numbers for Sanders vs various R's...however, Iowa and New Hampshire are demographic outliers versus the remainder of the campaign.
ReplyDeleteI am more fearful that Rubio is now going to get the establishment support on the R side and he polls very well vs. HRC. My hopes for a Trump landslide and a split of the Republican Party seem to have been dashed.
Wait, maybe they are still batshit nuts...trending on Twitter #microsoftrubiofraud.
ReplyDeleteYou really can't make this shit up.