Monday, July 25, 2022

Drought

Last spring (and all of last year):



Now:



I shot the second video from a spot that was underwater in the first video.

The waterfall is a remnant of a grist-mill dam from colonial times. It was probably breached 200 years ago.

11 comments:

  1. Dry, hot, and for here (eastern MA) in the summer
    remarkably windy. BY that I mean we had more days
    of over 10mph winds and gusts higher without a
    wet weather system visible.

    Last time we had 5 days of over 90 was 2011.
    This one went more than 8 days here.

    As to rain we have not had any in over a week and
    that was small dribble.



    Eck!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Water is the eternal question. We live with a 125-foot-deep well. There is no real way to check how much water there is. Had to have the pump replaced one year and there was lots of water then, but that was years ago.
    I have forgotten what rain is here in my part of Ca. And now it's a week of unusually high 100-degree days.
    Been here 15 years and it is changing for the hotter and drier. No matter what the Repubs say.
    w3ski

    ReplyDelete
  3. Let's see, about four miles north of here is the Washburn fire, the one really close to Yosemite and the Mariposa grove of ancient Sequoias, that one is more than 80% contained and probably will burn itself out in a couple of weeks or so. Topped out at just shy of 5,000 acres. A few miles west of that one is the Oak fire, coming up on 20,000 acres and ten percent contained as of this morning. That's the scary one. Southeast of that one is the Agua fire, started when someone crashed their car off of the road, 100% contained at 421 acres after Cal Fire got the jump on it.
    Last night the Grub fire broke out much closer to here, but was contained at less than 10 acres.
    That one was scary because it was quite a distance south of the Oak fire and most likely caused by embers from the Oak fire somehow being carried against the direction of the prevailing winds.
    My dad worked for the US Forest Service in California for thirty years, and it just didn't used to be like this.

    -Doug in Sugar Pine

    ReplyDelete
  4. 2 data points are not really enough. Has that been that dry before? How many times over how many years?

    One cannot work from bad (or incomplete) data and get good results.

    ReplyDelete
  5. b:

    You even got that wrong.

    There are at least three data points.

    The missed one is a grist mill dam means there was a
    significant about of water to turn a wheel at that
    time.

    I'd also conclude if the dam failed it could be
    construction or a point in time when there was a
    excess amount of water to facilitate the failure.

    Observation and data plus understanding can lead
    to speculation (theory). A little research into
    climate data for the last 200 years will likely
    also confirm there has been a shift in available
    water and its flow rate in the creek.


    Eck!

    ReplyDelete
  6. Eck: Feel free to show where the trend is for less water. In fact, feel free to show that there is ANY total rise in temperature and an overall decrease over time in moisture. Think long term.
    I'd bet that in the 1930's there was even less water. also in the 60's.

    Of course, after last night (7/25) there is likely too much water. Gotta look at the averages.
    Remember: Weather is not climate. Try to keep that in mind.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Feel free, B? Okay, this is from last year:



    The National Weather Service in Pendleton announced Thursday that the State Climate Extremes Committee has verified a tied, all-time Oregon maximum temperature of 119 degrees.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.opb.org/article/2022/02/10/oregons-2021-heat-dome-notches-another-record/%3FoutputType%3Damp

    119 degrees. It doesn’t even get that hot where I live, which routinely gets into the low to mid-100s here in the San Joaquin Valley

    This is the drought map, although it is the April 2022 one, as they’re updating it.

    https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/us-drought-monitor-update-april-5-2022

    Again, B, what are we to believe? Your assertions or that lying data.



    ReplyDelete
  8. b,

    I don't have to show anything its you disputing it,
    show your work if there is any. Your claim is
    incomplete, speculative.

    This part of the country is is in a drought.

    There may have been rain, a transient event, where
    you are. Not here, and knowing where there is,
    very little to none.




    Eck!

    ReplyDelete
  9. As our esteemed hostess tells me:

    "You made the claim, you back it up."

    Or, again, are there different standards for you Liberals than for others?

    Or you can duck and hide 'cause you got nuthin'.

    ReplyDelete
  10. I brought links and data, B. Your skepticism is that your doubts are valid, while data-based observations are to be disdained, if not ignored entirely.

    ReplyDelete

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