tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7924773307171301256.post2735196618125620769..comments2024-03-28T23:33:45.139-04:00Comments on Just An Earth-Bound Misfit, I : Be Interesting to See How the Gun Banning Crowd Spins ThisComrade Misfithttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15404477636451308763noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7924773307171301256.post-119728603494927872013-05-08T18:44:44.935-04:002013-05-08T18:44:44.935-04:00Spin... that's ALL they will do is spin the nu...Spin... that's ALL they will do is spin the numbers to advance their agenda...Old NFOhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16404197287935017147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7924773307171301256.post-91844000205680537482013-05-08T12:32:33.009-04:002013-05-08T12:32:33.009-04:00No need to spin it. *ALL* crime is down over the p...No need to spin it. *ALL* crime is down over the past twenty years. It's not surprising that murders committed with guns are down over that same time. So are burglaries. So are muggings. So are rapes. <br /><br />According to a sociologist at a university that I attended, the most important predicator of crime rates is demographic -- the 17 to 27 cohort commits the vast majority of crimes. Well, we had the Baby Boom and a burst of crime, then we had the Boomer Echo and a burst of crime. But the Echo kids have aged out of the violent crime cohort, leaving fewer kids to be committing crimes. He has all sorts of graphs and charts showing how closely crime rates follow the demographics. And here's the kicker: *Current crime rates are still almost exactly following this model.*<br /><br />Given that guns have always been readily obtainable and usable by criminals regardless of gun laws, it doesn't surprise me that relaxing gun laws essentially has had zero impact on this demographic curve. It does surprise me that putting a huge demographic in prison or on probation, the result of the War on Drugs and the criminalization of behavior that used to be handled via other mechanisms (such as acting out in school), has not affected this curve. Seems to put the lie on the whole "tough on crime = low crime" thing... but that's a topic for another post. <br />BadTuxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01345749557330760251noreply@blogger.com