tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7924773307171301256.post4936395088244980434..comments2024-03-28T23:33:45.139-04:00Comments on Just An Earth-Bound Misfit, I : Another Cost of Brexit?Comrade Misfithttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15404477636451308763noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7924773307171301256.post-59534110874014987842017-04-21T14:47:45.872-04:002017-04-21T14:47:45.872-04:00Anon 4/21 @ 0551:
I'm not sure Argentina woul...Anon 4/21 @ 0551:<br /><br /><i>I'm not sure Argentina would do this now, they are hardly holding up their mainland country together as it is. Could be used as a distraction and 'rallying around the flag' moment I suppose.</i><br /><br />Well, that was pretty much the situation in 1982, no?Comrade Misfithttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15404477636451308763noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7924773307171301256.post-13985264015729004962017-04-21T13:30:10.678-04:002017-04-21T13:30:10.678-04:00They'd have to consider Shitler awkwardly step...They'd have to consider Shitler awkwardly stepping in and invading Peru or somebody.Nangleatornoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7924773307171301256.post-19379772957820289232017-04-21T06:51:20.122-04:002017-04-21T06:51:20.122-04:00I'm not sure Argentina would do this now, they...I'm not sure Argentina would do this now, they are hardly holding up their mainland country together as it is. Could be used as a distraction and 'rallying around the flag' moment I suppose.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7924773307171301256.post-87121950576789683632017-04-20T20:01:13.964-04:002017-04-20T20:01:13.964-04:00So, in summary:
1) Spain is trying to pressure th...So, in summary:<br /><br />1) Spain is trying to pressure the U.K. on Gibraltar via the process.<br /><br />2) Argentina is watching the Falklands (Malvinas) with interest.<br /><br />3) Some of the EU leaders are pushing for extreme costs, but a few have started to back it off a bit.<br /><br />4) If the French election results in Far-Left vs Far-Right, the calculus gets messy, as they both are anti-EU.<br /><br />5) The Icelandic Foreign Minister is touring EU locations and arguing for a trade deal with the U.K. mirroring the current stance quickly...which is rather interesting.<br /><br />6) The snap election called in the U.K. Is designed to harden the British position as seen by the EU.<br /><br />7) There are about 700,000 Polish tradesmen (mainly plumbers) in the U.K., and a similar number of other nationalities, especially Eastern European.<br /><br />8) All of those people returning to the EU would cause dislocations.<br /><br /><br />On the whole, the EU position is starting to look like more bargaining than requiring. I think after a little more chest beating, they'll get down to brass tacks. The U.K. has never been happily integrated into the EU, and the EU will be happy to see them out of the meetings.<br /><br />The rights of EU and U.K. Citizens will end up being the major negotiations, followed by the financial markets considerations. The Germans are dying to get the financial markets, but I suspect London will keep the majority due to tech market access, location, experience, the unwillingness of U.S. financial types to move to Frankfort or Munich vs London.<br /><br />As for the Argentinians, without a military dictatorship, it seems unlikely they have the appetite to try by force, because they know they will probably win in the long run. An Argentinian occupation would be a long, costly stalemate with them expending funds to supply the islands by air, as the Royal Navy submarines would easily embargo the islands. <br /><br />CenterPuke88https://www.blogger.com/profile/17770056621255249861noreply@blogger.com